MotoGP title-fight, final round: it’s Superman versus Hulk!

MotoGP

Anything can happen in motorcycle racing and usually does, so nothing is for certain when Bagnaia and Martin line up at Barcelona this weekend. And how did they get here? Here’s your blow-by-blow account of the 2024 championship, during which they’ve swapped the points lead five times!

Bagnaia Martin superheros

It’s been a superheroes duel all season, with Superman and Hulk taking turns and winning races and crashing out of races (as tenuously depicted in this AI image). Who will get the upper hand this weekend?

Mat Oxley

Superman’s everyday-self Clark Kent is harmless and timid, but when he changes into his suit he becomes superhuman. Pecco Bagnaia is mostly quiet and humble, until he climbs into his leathers, when he transmogrifies into an altered state.

Championship leader Jorge Martin couldn’t be more different. Even when he’s off the bike he bristles with bristles with aggression – those bright blue eyes sparkling, looking for trouble. And he’s ripped, like Hulk. And inked all over, like the boss of a street gang you wouldn’t want to mess with.

This is one of the many great things about motorcycle racing – some bike racers look like they wouldn’t say boo to a goose, others look like they’ll rip your head and shit down your neck. But once they ride out of pitlane all of them only have one thing on their minds: destroying each and every one of their rivals.

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To the limit – and beyond!
MotoGP

To the limit – and beyond!

MotoGP’s seesaw season of mistakes is coming down to the finest details: Martin using his get-out-of-jail-free card and Bagnaia finding drying kerbs in Thailand. And what about Acosta – he’s now scored five times more podiums than any other non-Ducati rider!

By Mat Oxley

2024 is the second year of this Superman versus Hulk duel. Superman is now in his fifth MotoGP season, Hulk in his fourth, finally with enough experience to fight the reigning champion on equal terms.

Both have been on the same bikes and with the same deals, on money and technical back-up, since last year, when Ducati chose Enea Bastianini over Martin for its factory team (what a mistake that turned out to be!) and the big bosses kept Martin sweet by giving him what they’d given Bagnaia, but in the Pramac garage instead of the factory garage.

Bagnaia and Martin may both be superheroes of motorcycle racing but of course they don’t have superpowers – they’re as human as the rest of us and therefore given to making mistakes.

Both have admitted that 2024 has been a championship of mistakes – a seesaw season during which the advantage has swung this way and that as they take turns at winning, messing up and crashing out.

Pecco Bagnaia and Jorge Bagnaia battling under braking

Bagnaia and Martin braking from 205mph/331kmh during their Sepang GP duel. The pair have been this close for much of the season, battling front lock, air stop and other issues which make MotoGP riding more complicated than ever

Michelin

The championship lead has changed hands five times over 19 rounds, including four times over four consecutive weekends – Sachsenring, Silverstone, Red Bull Ring and Aragon – which makes this an unusually topsy-turvy title race.

Bagnaia has won ten GPs and six sprints to Martin’s three GPs and seven sprints. So how come Bagnaia isn’t leading the championship? Because he’s crashed out of six races to Martin’s two. Martin has been by far the more consistent.

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Therefore the Spaniard goes into the Barcelona finale leading the Italian by 24 points. So he needs 14 points – two sixth places would do it – to take the championship, even if Bagnaia wins the sprint and the Grand Prix.

Sounds easy, right?

If you think that, you should cast your mind back to October 2006, when Valentino Rossi went into the Valencia season finale leading the championship and Nicky Hayden by eight points, when there were 25 up for grabs (not 37, like now).

Obviously there was no way Hayden was going to overcome the mighty Rossi, unbeaten since 2000 and at the peak of his powers. Hayden, however, did believe he could do it and he did.

This is the story of the 2024 season so far, from Qatar in March to Malaysia two weeks ago…

QATAR Sprint Grand Prix Points
Bagnaia 4th 1st 31
Martin 1st 3rd 28

 

The pattern was set straight away: Martin won the sprint – “Because I’m a really explosive guy” – and Bagnaia won the GP. But both struggled with chatter from Michelin’s super-grippy 2024 rear slick. Bagnaia after the sprint: “I had big chatter from the rear”. Martin after the GP: “We had vibration entering corners, also in the middle of corners and when I open the throttle”.

Qatar GP results

Martin Bagnaia graph

It’s been this close all season! With the points lead changing four times on four consecutive weekends during the mid-stages of the championship

PORTUGAL Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 3rd 1st 60
Bagnaia 4th crash 37

 

The Ducatis were again fast but still beset by chatter. The problem was worse in the sprint, in which Martin and Bagnaia used the softer rear tyre. (Usually, more grip means more chatter.) On Sunday, Bagnaia struggled to get his bike turned and was fighting for fifth with Marc Márquez when they collided and both went down. Martin took the championship lead.

Portuguese GP results

 


USA Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 3rd 4th 80
Bagnaia 8th 5th 50

 

And still Ducati had chatter – indeed this is the only GP so far where a rival brand won and there was only one Ducati rider on the podium. Martin, “We had a lot of vibrations, I was close to crashing in a lot of corners”. Bagnaia, “The bike was moving a lot at the front and I was feeling some vibrations at the rear, so I had to ride defensively”. Even Gigi Dall’Igna was getting worried.

Americas GP results

 


SPAIN Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 1st crash 92
Bagnaia crash 1st 75

 

Ducati engineers simulated multiple solutions. During Jerez practice Bagnaia tried different front forks and swingarms – Ducati had fixed its chatter problem! No coincidence that this was its first podium lockout of 2024. However, Bagnaia crashed out of the sprint due to a collision, while Martin crashed out of the lead of the GP. This was the super-grippy rear pushing the front.

Spanish GP results

 


FRANCE Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 1st 1st 129
Bagnaia mechanical 3rd 91

 

Martin shifted into top gear at Le Mans: pole, start-to-finish sprint win and GP victory. Bagnaia used his spare bike in the sprint after a Q2 crash and it quit on him. He led the GP, but Martin and Márquez got him when he ran out of grip. No wonder Martin was talking big, “I’m much stronger than last season, improving my skills a lot, not only on the racetrack, also my mentality”.

French GP results

 

Jorge Martin leads MotoGP pack

Bagnaia began his mid-season fightback with a stunning double at Mugello, riding around the outside of rivals like they weren’t even there

Michelin

CATALUNYA Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 4th 2nd 155
Bagnaia crash 1st 116

 

Catalunya was super-slippery – Bagnaia was the third leader of the sprint race to crash out! “It’s very critical, you can crash without doing anything, it’s like riding flat track,” he said after his third consecutive sprint DNF. Martin made the most of it: “I feel that here the rider makes the difference”. Bagnaia beat him in the GP but Martin left Barcelona 39 points in front!

Catalan GP results

 


ITALY Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin crash 3rd 171
Bagnaia 1st 1st 153

 

This is where Bagnaia started his fightback, with his first sprint/GP double since Austria 2023, leading every lap of both races and breaking the GP record by more than a second a lap! Michelin’s new rear slick in full effect. Martin has a bad weekend with Michelin’s front, crashing out of the sprint and unable to attack Bagnaia in the GP, due to his front overheating.

Italian GP results

 


NETHERLANDS Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 2nd 2nd 200
Bagnaia 1st 1st 190

 

Bagnaia was imperious once again – in two weekends he had closed the points gap from 39 to ten. “I love the smoothness of Assen’s fast corners,” he said. “I love to enter very fast, lean and control the gas to exit well. That’s always fantastic for me”. And Martin admitted he wasn’t fast enough. “I didn’t think I was able to win at any moment of the weekend.”

Dutch TT results

 


GERMANY Sprint Grand Prix Points
Bagnaia 3rd 1st 222
Martin 1st crash 212

 

Martin threw away 25 points when he crashed on the penultimate lap of the GP. It was the same crash as Jerez and Mugello – the rear tyre gripping so well that it took away front grip. “There’s something there that’s making me crash,” he said. Bagnaia was beaten into third in the sprint but he rode a perfect GP to lead the championship for the first time since Qatar.

German GP results

 

Pecco Baganaia getting up after crash into gravel trap

Bagnaia has won more races than Martin but he’s also crashed out of more – therefore, mistakes, rather than lack of speed, have been his downfall

Ducati

BRITAIN Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 2nd 2nd 241
Bagnaia crash 3rd 238

 

This time it was Bagnaia’s turn to mess up. A third sprint crash. “Many times I was locking and losing the front,” he said, referring to the rear-push issue. Martin took second to Enea Bastianini in both races to regain the championship lead, by three points. His engineers had changed his geometry to load the front tyre better and reduce rear push.

British GP results

 


AUSTRIA Sprint Grand Prix Points
Bagnaia 1st 1st 275
Martin 2nd 2nd 260

 

The pendulum swung again! Bagnaia fine-tuned his riding to avoid rear-push crashes and retake the points lead: “Here it’s easier to manage because you can use more rear brake to have a rear slide before entering corners.” Martin gave chase but explained: “We are so on the limit with front temperature, so when you are three tenths or closer to the rider in front it’s impossible to get closer.”

Austrian GP results

 


ARAGON Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 2nd 2nd 299
Bagnaia 9th crash 276

 

Bagnaia started from the super-slippery side of the grid, getting two bad starts. He was ninth in the sprint, struggling with front-end feel. He staged a great comeback in the GP, only to collide with Alex Márquez. Both crashed. Martin took two more seconds, behind Marc Márquez, and retook the championship lead for the third and last time.

Aragon GP results

 


SAN MARINO Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 1st 15th 312
Bagnaia 2nd 2nd 305

 

And again! Martin rode a brilliant sprint to beat Bagnaia but got it wrong in the GP, swapping bikes when drizzle started falling. The rain never really came, so he had to change bikes again. The sketchy conditions helped Márquez to another win, while Bagnaia kept things safe in second, which closed the points gap from 22 to just seven.

San Marino GP results

Marc Marquez with Pecco Bagnaia and Jorge Martin on MotoGP podium

Bagnaia dominated the Japanese GP, chased all the way by Martin. Márquez will join Bagnaia in the factory Ducati team next year, taking the seat some believe Martin deserves

Dorna/MotoGP

EMILIA-ROMAGNA Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 2nd 2nd 341
Bagnaia 1st crash 317

 

Second time out at Misano, Bagnaia bettered Martin in the sprint and looked like clawing back more points on Sunday. But his rear slick didn’t work until well into the race, after which he began a charge that ended when he lost the front, another rear-push crash. That left Martin battling for victory with Bastianini. On the last lap Bastianini barged past to win.

Emilia-Romagna GP results

 


INDONESIA Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 10th 1st 366
Bagnaia 1st 3rd 345

 

Martin started the sprint from pole and fell on the first lap, zero points! “I was over-confident.” He bounced back on Sunday with a start-to-finish win, his first GP success since Le Mans. But Bagnaia was relishing being the hunter, not the hunted: “When you are behind and you have to win it’s easier to win. When you are in front you have to think too much; it’s not helpful.”

Indonesian GP results

 


JAPAN Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 4th 2nd 392
Bagnaia 1st 1st 382

 

Martin paid a heavy price for a Q2 crash which left him on row four. He made it through to fourth in the sprint and second in the GP, putting Bagnaia under serious pressure. But whatever he put on Bagnaia, the world champion clicked up another gear, never letting his pursuer get within half a second. In two days he had halved his points disadvantage.

Japanese GP results

Pecco Bagnaia and Jorge MArtin either side of MotoGP trophy

The title contenders with the MotoGP winner’s trophy in Kuala Lumpur on the eve of the recent Malaysian GP

AUSTRALIA Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 1st 2nd 424
Bagnaia 4th 3rd 404

 

This was the first time Bagnaia had been in real trouble all year. He struggled to get his bike turned through Phillip Island’s fast sweepers. Meanwhile Martin left everyone standing in the sprint and looked to have the GP won until Márquez arrived. But no worries, he went from ten points ahead to 20. Now Bagnaia was really worried.

Australian GP results

 


THAILAND Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 2nd 2nd 453
Bagnaia 3rd 1st 436

 

Martin made arguably the overtake of the year when he swept past Bagnaia to take second in the sprint. The move put Bagnaia so far behind on points that even if he won the last five races, with Martin second, Martin would take the title. But once again he bounced back in the GP, a flawless victory in treacherous soaking conditions. He wasn’t done yet.

Thai GP results

 


MALAYSIA Sprint Grand Prix Points
Martin 1st 2nd 485
Bagnaia crash 1st 461

 

There’s rarely such a thing as a turning point in a season – usually there are several – and this was one. Bagnaia was chasing leader Martin in the sprint when he crashed out. Finally the title was really slipping away. He fought back to win the GP but Martin took second, so he’s a long way behind on points, with time running out.

Malaysian GP results