Verstappen's 2016 Brazil brilliance was a rehearsal for 2024 masterclass

F1

Max Verstappen showed all the traits needed for his superlative 2024 Sao Paulo GP performance on the same track eight years earlier

Max Verstappen Red Bull 2016 Brazilian GP

Verstappen showed his mettle at Brazil '16

Red Bull

Mark Hughes

There was something of a deja-vu feeling about Max Verstappen’s stunning performance in the rain of Interlagos last Sunday wasn’t there? It brought back memories of his similarly stunning display at the same venue and similar conditions of 2016 – though this time was rewarded with a victory rather than merely a podium.

Back then of course, Verstappen’s Red Bull-Renault had a very significant performance deficit to the dominant Mercedes. But in wet conditions that deficit was much-reduced as the proportion of importance of downforce and power changed. This had been evident in the rain of Monaco too, where Daniel Ricciardo had been so scintillating before there were no tyres ready for him at his pitstop. In wet conditions, the Red Bull and the Mercedes were much more closely-matched. Then there was the matter of how much more difference Verstappen himself could make in such conditions. The ceiling of possibility became higher.

He’d qualified 0.5sec off the Mercs in the dry of qualifying and just behind Kimi Räikkönen’s Ferrari too, but as the field was led away behind the safety car, everyone on wets, you could see already that he didn’t plan on staying in P4 for very long. He was experimenting with lines, finding where the grip was in these conditions (as was poleman Lewis Hamilton, occasionally veering away from the conventional line, but keen not to telegraph his intentions to title rival and team-mate Nico Rosberg just behind).

Max Verstappen Red Bull Kimi Raikkonen Ferrari 2016 Brazilian GP

Verstappen hunts down Räikkönen

Grand Prix Photo

Rosberg in fact had no intention of going wheel-to-wheel with anyone, as he later confirmed. He had a good points lead and wanted above all to stay out of trouble on such a treacherous day.

After seven laps the safety car indicated it was coming in and the pack was unleashed. Verstappen used the info he’d picked up on those reconnaissance laps, went wide off line at Juncao where there was better traction and accelerated out of there tight in Räikkönen’s slipstream. As they crested the hill onto the pit straight he burst out of the blinding ball of spray to move up to third and immediately began to close on Rosberg. But before Max could make further progress Marcus Ericsson crashed his Sauber at the top of the hill where the standing water was at its deepest. Red Bull called Verstappen in as the safety car came out, switching him to inters, this losing him just one position and putting him back behind Räikkönen.

As the safety car came in, Räikkönen was giving it plenty, trying to keep Verstappen from repeating his earlier move. But the Ferrari’s wheels spun up over that standing water at the top of the hill – as did Verstappen’s. Max caught the resultant moment, but Räikkönen tank-slapped the Ferrari hard into the barrier on the right then bounced over to the pitwall on the left as Verstappen went by avoiding the debris.

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2016 Brazilian Grand Prix
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2016 Brazilian Grand Prix

Lewis Hamilton calmly dominates in the Interlagos rain, Max Verstappen stars and Nico Rosberg edges closer to the title Ooh, this was raw, gladiatorial stuff, an old-school high-risk track and hard…

By Mark Hughes

There followed one of the sport’s most terrifying moments with Räikkönen sitting in his stationary car, at 180-degrees to the oncoming traffic, almost invisible to those drivers such was the level of spray. The rookie Esteban Ocon, travelling at almost 200mph in the Manor, was not aware there was a stationary Ferrari in the spray and was momentarily on course to hit it head-on. Raikkonen momentarily hunched down, waiting for the horrible inevitable – but in the last moment Ocon saw him and reacted just in time. Several others had been horrified as they’d passed close by, realising they’d just missed him only as they saw him, including Sebastian Vettel in the other Ferrari. F1 had just dodged a bullet and the race was red-flagged.

It got restarted behind the safety car, with everyone on wets and circulated like this for another seven laps. Race director Charlie Whiting then called another red flag after looking at the weather forecast. Rather than the event timing out, he reasoned that if he froze the countdown and waited for the worst of the rain to pass, we could get far more racing laps in than if they’d just ploughed on.

When racing finally did resume Verstappen was immediately on the attack, getting onto his favoured wet outside line through Turn 3 – longer but grippier in the wet – to get way more momentum than Rosberg and converting that into a pass for second into Turn 4. He used that exact same line to pass three cars on the opening lap last Sunday.

Kimi Raikkonen Ferrari 2016 Brazilian GP

Ferrari’s Finnish driver smashes into the barriers – in the path of other cars

DPPI

For a couple of laps Verstappen began to nudge into Hamilton’s gap – which he’d got out to 2-3sec very quickly – but as soon as he was informed of this Hamilton just upped his pace by around 0.3sec, which seemed to kill off Verstappen’s challenge. A few laps later, trying again to close down Hamilton, Verstappen hit that standing water at the top of the hill, the Red Bull getting broadside at enormous speed. Here’s how we described it that day:

“He’d got the opposite lock on quickly enough to prevent a full spin and was able to scrub its speed off still within the width of the track. As it headed towards the left-hand barrier, most of the sting had been taken out of the moment, and Verstappen calmly released the clutch and induced a small power slide to quickly change its trajectory away from the barrier. It lost him about four seconds – not quite enough for the following Rosberg to capitalise, Nico looking for all the world like he was driving for the title and generally keeping away from other cars. On the following lap Verstappen was a full one second faster than Rosberg…”

 

It was a remarkable bit of car control. But he clearly wasn’t going to be able to do anything about Hamilton. So with 28 laps to go, Red Bull gambled on bringing Max in for inters. It would lose him many places but if the rain reduced enough, as it looked like it might, then it could have won him the race. But the rain actually increased – and Verstappen was forced in again shortly afterwards for a change back to wets. On rubber newer than anyone else’s he was the fastest man on track and was passing cars as soon as he came upon them. In the space of 17 laps he overtook 11 cars, some of them in extremely unconventional places – up the inside of team-mate Ricciardo into the fast downhill of Turn 11, for example. It was an extraordinary performance and it netted him third place.

From the archive

But it was all happening a long way behind Hamilton who said afterwards, “I was in the zone the whole time, and quite relaxed. I even had time for something to eat during the red flag period. It was a very easy race, probably one of the easier ones. Silverstone 2008 was way harder than this.”

Now contrast that to Hamilton’s Brazil ’24 weekend. Out in Q1 and a 10th-place finish in a car ostensibly the same as that used by George Russell to be within a few hundredths of pole and for a long time leading the race.

Hamilton just has no confidence in the rear of this car – especially after it threw him off the road in Austin. That lack of confidence spirals when the required tyre temperatures can’t be reached, making the car whole chunks slower. When it’s marginal like this, the less confidence you have, the colder the tyres become, making the car yet-more difficult etc. It’s a confidence crisis. Two identical cars, one with its tyres up to temperature, the other not, can have a bigger performance gap between them than between the fastest and slowest car on the grid. So those seeing conspiracies as they look at in-car comparisons, seeing Russell smooth on the steering as Hamilton is correcting slides, are actually only witnessing a 20C difference in tyre temperatures. That’s what it looks like.

But obviously Hamilton was extremely downbeat afterwards and there couldn’t have been a bigger contrast between the guy who’d walked on water here eight years ago. He’s going to be asking himself questions, as he should. But it’s hard not to think that some part of him has checked out from this season and this car. It would be great to see the Brazil ’16 version of him back next year to give Verstappen some competition. But who knows how the neurons, the spirit and the elastomers might combine?

`Lewis Hamilton Mercedes 2016 Brazilian GP

Hamilton was “in the zone” at Brazil in 2016 – unlike 2024

Grand Prix Photo