But when Perez is removed from the picture entirely, his insignificance to Red Bull’s success this season truly comes to light.
In this alternate reality, Verstappen’s dominant performance in Bahrain would have been followed by further success in Jeddah (where he actually finished second), even after qualifying fifteenth on the grid. He’d have been in the top spot by lap 25, surpassing Fernando Alonso and with no Perez to chase.
Following a third consecutive victory for Verstappen in Melbourne, a Jeddah-esque story would play out once again in Baku. He was beaten in qualifying and during Saturday’s sprint race by Ferrari‘s Charles Leclerc but had the speed and strategy to best the field during the grand prix on Sunday. If Perez wasn’t there, victory would have been Verstappen’s.
From that point, there’s no need to reimagine Verstappen’s results. Save for the fastest lap in Montreal, Perez didn’t take a single point from Verstappen, who then won ten successive races until his eventual defeat in Singapore, where the RB19 was an uncharacteristic handful and only good enough for fifth.
A week later at Suzuka, it was on top form — Verstappen leading from the front.
As of now, after the 2023 Japanese Grand Prix, the results of a Perez-less season would be remarkably similar to the reality.
Verstappen would have wrapped up his third drivers’ world title in Japan, with a 201-point lead over Lewis Hamilton after his fifteenth win of the season, and Red Bull would remain in control of the constructors’ standings, 78 points ahead of Mercedes.
But on current form, Verstappen on his own would still make Red Bull tough to catch during the final race weekends of the season. If his form continued — winning every remaining event and finishing the year on a total of 585 points — and both Hamilton and Russell never missed the podium, Mercedes would still finish 29 points shy of the constructors’ crown.
New 2023 constructors’ standings (without Perez)
Constructor | Points | |
1 | Red Bull | 410 |
2 | Mercedes | 332 |
3 | Ferrari | 298 |
4 | Aston Martin | 234 |
5 | McLaren | 183 |
6 | Alpine | 96 |
7 | Williams | 34 |
8 | Alfa Romeo | 19 |
9 | AlphaTauri | 14 |
10 | Haas | 14 |
These results shouldn’t shame Perez: his performances in 2021 and 2022 were crucial to Red Bull’s success, and it’s clear that few drivers can access the same level of performance as Verstappen. It would make sense for the team to give him the benefit-of-the-doubt card and keep him on next year — he does have a contract after all.