It wasn’t until last year that was beginning to be widely understood and in ’23 Red Bull had an even bigger advantage as it continued to develop along that basic platform. Of the others, it’s only been the ’24 generation which have been conceived already with that conceptual understanding.
But it seems a key part in Red Bull achieving that great consistency of underfloor performance has also been a very high level of roll stiffness, in order to keep those flows as consistent as possible. That roll stiffness is essentially doing laterally what the anti-dive front/anti-pitch rear geometry is doing longitudinally: minimising the changes to the aero platform. The combination of very high roll stiffness with long travel rear suspension (long travel only relative to the other ground effect cars) has worked brilliantly well overall. But it can create difficulties in specific circumstances, as we are now finding out
(Singapore last year being the first clue). On tracks where the rear ride height has to be relatively big to accommodate bumps and kerbs, the roll stiffness which is helping deliver the big downforce, cannot adequately allow the suspension to smother the worst of the bumps and camber changes. The loads just transfer straight to the chassis, giving the mechanical bouncing so evident in Monaco. Back off on the roll stiffness and it loses way too much downforce. Singapore and Monaco are extreme case studies of this, with no fast corners to allow the superior high-speed downforce to offset the slow corner struggle over the lap.
This is all in the early stages of playing out as McLaren and Ferrari increase their pace while they develop their cars. But it’s looking as if we are likely to see a more distinct pattern of track-specific competitive order on any given weekend. Bumps and big rear ride heights are not the Red Bull’s friend. But will McLaren and Ferrari be able to challenge the RB20 on the fast sweeps of Barcelona, Silverstone, Spa? How will they all fare on the medium but relatively smooth venues of Austria, Hungary, Zandvoort?
If I had to make a call on it from this day in history, I’d go with Verstappen still being on course for title number four but at least with some interesting competitive variations along the way.