MPH: Franco Colapinto has exposed how F2 is failing young stars

F1

Judge Franco Colapinto — along with Oliver Bearman and Liam Lawson — on their Formula 2 performances alone, and they wouldn't have a chance in F1. Mark Hughes says that the way F2 is set up to generate profit means that it's no indicator of driver talent

Franco Colapinto points to the camera in 2024 F1 Mexico GP paddock

Colapinto has been a sensation for Williams since replacing Logan Sargeant

Kym Illman/Getty Images

Mark Hughes

Within the space of three or four races Franco Colapinto has made the prospect of him not being on the F1 grid next year seem ridiculous. He’s taken the opportunity provided him by Williams and absolutely wrung its neck. It’s an opportunity which looked unlikely until he began to make it happen with his performance in FP1 at Silverstone where he was impressive in his boldness, the confidence he immediately displayed in the fast corners. This from an F2 rookie whose season in that category was looking ok, but nothing special. As Logan Sargeant slid progressively backwards, clearly suffering a confidence crisis and making no inroads at all on the deficit to team-mate Alex Albon – and crashing into the bargain – so it was a case of ‘why not’ try the team’s rookie third driver for the last third of the season. And the revelation unfolded.

Together with the sparkling return of Liam Lawson last weekend and the brilliant cameo performances from Oliver Bearman at Ferrari and Haas, it underlines in bold that you cannot take junior category performances as the ultimate barometer of potential. Even in a spec formula, the difference in machinery between a well-engineered car and a struggling apparently identical one can be way bigger than the differences between their drivers. This has long been the case but has been exaggerated in the current era by the severe lack of running imposed (for reasons of cost) and the traits of the tyres upon which they run, which are good for one properly fast lap.

Oliver Bearman and Liam Lawson in 2024 F1 Australian GP paddock

Bearman (left) and Lawson have proved their worth in F1 after average F2 results

In F2 and F3 testing is virtually zero, your running is restricted to the official sessions of the race weekend – and you have only a very limited supply of tyres in which to experiment with set up and technique. These limitations have all been imposed for reasons of cost, yet the required budgets are massively bigger than when there was competition between chassis manufacturers, engine preparers and tyre suppliers – and as much testing as you wished. Even accounting for inflation.

This is because these ‘ladder to F1’ championships have been made a commercial profit centre under one F1-approved organiser and structured to make a big profit. As part of the F1 circus, the championship organiser sets a major part of the teams’ budgets by way of the championship registration fees, race entry fees, the compulsory use of the organisers’ contracted fuel supplier, caterers, etc. Then there are the spares costs from the contracted chassis supplier. The teams are a captive market and have to pass these costs on. These costs are such that they dwarf what was spent in a previous era on testing and a lot of people are making a lot of money from them.

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So it can be you get a new driver and/or a new engineer who just haven’t got their head around what the car needs, in terms of driving or race engineering. It’s just part of the learning process, it’s how these guys learn their respective craft. But that process used to be massively accelerated compared to now. Now if you have a problem, you might easily go a season without properly uncovering it. Limited testing, limited tyre sets, tyres which have one good fast qualifying lap in them; it’s setting up a lot of guys for failure.

This all comes under F1’s umbrella. Everything is synchronised. So F1 is presiding over a system which, far from making it obvious who the next stars are, is muddying the waters. So you get Oliver Bearman – 15th in F2 this year, marking himself out as a star as soon as he got into an F1 car. You get his team-mate Kimi Antonelli, sixth in F2 but reckoned to be the next major F1 mega talent. Franco Colapinto, not a regular presence at the front in F2 but now creating waves in F1. Liam Lawson, ninth and third in his two F2 seasons, 11th and fifth in F3. Which is not to say the guys doing the winning in F2 or F3 are not future stars – current F2 leader Gabriel Bortoleto looks outstanding, Isack Hadjar has had a very strong season – but if you are looking at form as an indicator of quality in these categories, don’t.