Mercedes misunderstanding prevents Hamilton–Verstappen Texas shootout

F1

All signs pointed to a Verstappen versus Hamilton rematch midway through the 2023 US GP. But on-track action was soon reduced to a simmer. Mark Hughes explains why

Lewis Hamilton Max Verstappen feature

Hamilton or Verstappen? A tough choice for Fantasy players, or maybe not...

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Mark Hughes

The headlines for this race inevitably came to be dominated by the disqualification of Lewis Hamilton from second place and Charles Leclerc from sixth, with each having worn out their underbody planks by more than the permitted 10%.

Which was a pity, because the actual racing story of this one was fascinating. It was all about how a combination of the Red Bull not being quite on its top form (the bumps of the COTA track demanded a ride height which lost it some of its usual underbody downforce advantage) and a good update for the Mercedes created a Max Verstappen/Lewis Hamilton struggle which lasted virtually the whole race.

But it was Lando NorrisMcLaren which played the starring early role. He beat pole-sitter Charles Leclerc into Turn 1 and left the two Ferraris far behind. The sprint of the previous day (won comfortably from pole by Verstappen from Hamilton and Leclerc) had shown the Ferrari to have much heavier rear tyre deg than the Red Bull, McLaren or Mercedes. So now Leclerc and Sainz were running to a pace rather than racing. Hamilton and Verstappen (whose pole time on Friday had been deleted for track limits, putting him P6 on the grid) stalked them and passed them in quick order. But by the time Verstappen found his way past Leclerc, he was 4sec adrift of Hamilton.

Verstappen Leclerc 2023 United States Grand Prix

Verstappen passes Leclerc on his way to victory — but it wasn’t dominant business as usual

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The pace superiority of the Red Bull shown the day before was just not apparent on Sunday, Hamilton maintaining that advantage as they both closed down on Norris’ lead. The track temperatures had been cooler on Saturday, higher on Friday and Sunday. The Red Bull definitely seemed to prefer Saturday’s conditions. But it wasn’t only that; Verstappen was nursing a problem. The brake pedal just had no feel to it. Something was different to how it had felt on Saturday. He couldn’t feel which axle was on the point of locking first and its response as he changed the brake bias didn’t seem consistent. Desperate not to lock a wheel because of how stressed the tyres are here, he was driving it very conservatively. That was quick enough to keep pace with Hamilton and faster than Norris. But less than the usual Red Bull dynamite.

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Mercedes was looking good here, if only they had known it. They knew nothing of Verstappen’s brake drama at this stage and were assuming Verstappen was just monitoring his tyre life before inevitably demolishing them, along with the rest of the field. If it had just covered Verstappen’s lap 16 stop with Hamilton immediately (as McLaren did with Norris), Hamilton would surely have stood a realistic chance of retaining track position for the second stint – which could have been the foundation for victory. Instead, Mercedes decided to try for a one-stop on the basis that they believed they’d be beaten if they did the same. The degradation of Hamilton’s mediums looked very respectable and if he could stay at that pace until lap 23, it might have worked.

But the tyres were never going to hold on that long, as it turned out. They gave up suddenly, leaving Hamilton flailing around three laps short of his targeted distance. Merc bailed out of the one-stop plan and brought him in, but the extra four laps he ran on old tyres after Verstappen’s stop had cost him around 11sec to the Red Bull, which was now ahead.

Lewis Hamilton US GP

Lewis Hamilton spent the majority of his US GP on the brink of victory — but would be disqualified entirely later on

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Norris still led, but Verstappen — dodgy brake pedal notwithstanding — dived past for the lead on the 28th lap, just short of the second round of stops. Hamilton later made a spectacular-looking pass on the McLaren through Turns 1-2. He was by now on medium tyres which were quicker than the hards on the Red Bull and he was taking around 0.5sec per lap out of it. But he ran out of laps, and for the second time in the same race the COTA crowd was narrowly denied seeing these two go at it wheel-to-wheel.

Verstappen’s brake problem, the awkward strategy call for Hamilton; they were just problems to manage and minimise in two performances beyond the norm. Around a magnificent race track on a sunny Texan day, the two megastars of F1 in the two fastest cars staged a duel.