Mark Hughes: Is Norris vs Piastri F1's next team-mate battle for the ages?

F1

2025 could boil down to a title fight between Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri – will the McLaren mates keep it cordial?

OSCAR PIASTRI LANDO NORRIS MCLAREN 2025 australian gp

Happy McLaren families, for now...

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Mark Hughes

Let’s just assume for a moment that McLaren’s handy performance advantage in the Melbourne season-opener will be continued and that Ferrari, Red Bull and Mercedes will be scrapping over the crumbs from their table this year. It won’t definitely be like that, but it wouldn’t be an outlandish prediction either. If it is so, then the prospects for any tension in the title fight reside with Oscar Piastri being able to challenge team-mate Lando Norris. From that perspective, first blood to Norris with an assured victory from pole in challenging conditions and Piastri’s crucial spin which limited him to a ninth place finish is a worrying pointer.

But history tells us that we should wait for the second race to get a more realistic read. Think back to the first races of 1984, ’86, ’88, ’98 and 2014, seasons where the identity of the fastest car was very clear and where there were two potential champions driving it. Look at the contrasts in each case between the first and second races.

For ’84 the combination of McLaren’s TAG-Porsche fuel efficiency and John Barnard’s chassis made the MP4/2 the dominant car, not always the fastest in qualifying but with an unbeatable combination of power and fuel economy in the races. Niki Lauda, going into the third season of his comeback having already won races, was back in the best car for the first time since his Ferrari years in the mid-70s. But although he’d succeeded in getting the team to run the car in the late stages of ’83 against the wishes of Barnard, the team didn’t operate around him the way Ferrari had. Ron Dennis was determined not to let that happen and the two had quite an adversarial relationship at times and when Alain Prost unexpectedly came onto the market in late ’83 after having his contract annulled by Renault, Dennis pounced.

2 OSCAR PIASTRI LANDO NORRIS MCLAREN 2025 australian gp

Norris and Piastri together – on-track, off-track – as it’s likely to be for most of the season

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This Lauda/Prost line-up was a fascinating one, the old master vs his apparent successor in F1’s fastest car. The opening race was Brazil and Lauda – who found the combination of qualifying tyres and variable turbo boost difficult – got to see for the first time Prost’s searing pace as he lapped half-a-second faster than Lauda. Without the big qualifying boost of the Renault engines, the McLarens qualified only fourth (Prost) and seventh (Lauda) but were by far the fastest in the race. Prost made a bad start and Lauda was instantly past him before picking off the others and pulling away to what was going to be a dominant victory. He was leading by 40sec when a loose battery connection forced his retirement, handing victory to Prost.

It was an important psychological boost for the new recruit, but his race pace had been no greater than Lauda’s. Fortunes swung the other way in the second race at Kyalami, where Prost was forced to start from the pitlane after a last-minute electrical drama. He came through from the back to second place but was over a minute behind the dominant Lauda. The qualifying vs race pace pattern between them was just as the first race had suggested. Prost was way quicker over a qualifying lap but such was the car’s race pace superiority it hardly mattered. There was going to be a title fight.

From the archive

Nelson Piquet joined Williams for 1986 as a double world champion with number 1 status in the team assured him by Frank Williams. The incumbent driver Nigel Mansell – who’d won his first two grands prix at the end of ’85 – was assigned the number two role. The car they’d be racing, the Williams-Honda FW11, was comfortably F1’s fastest, with more power and more downforce than anything else. Piquet’s status suggested that in this car he’d be the dominant champion. But Frank Williams suffered his crippling road accident before the season began and Mansell flat refused to acknowledge the support role.

The opening race in Rio, Brazil was intriguing. Piquet won it and had been a couple of tenths faster than Mansell in qualifying, but the opening seconds of the race saw Mansell instantly past Piquet and challenging Ayrton Senna’s pole-sitting Lotus into the fast first turn, underbody sparks flying as they went wheel-to-wheel in macho fashion. They touched and Mansell spun into the barrier. Piquet, having watched all this unfold, backed out of a move on Senna on the second lap but timed it perfectly on the third lap, getting the slipstream from much further back, passing and going onto a comfortable victory. It suggested Piquet’s calm confidence would see him prevail over a desperate-looking Mansell. But at race 2 in Jerez, Mansell put Piquet in the shade, taking the lead from Senna and looking likely to stay there until a puncture forced him to pit. Despite this set-back he was soon back on Senna’s tail, gaining 19sec in 10 laps on his new tyres and crossing the line just a few hundredths behind. Piquet had been relatively anonymous in comparison before retiring from third with an engine failure. Game on between the Williams drivers.

Into 1988 Prost got to feel what it must have been like for Lauda in ’84 as a younger, more thrusting team-mate, Senna, joined him at McLaren just as the team had created what would turn out to be one of the most dominant cars in F1 history. At Rio for the opening race Senna qualified 0.7sec faster than Prost but suffered a gearbox problem on the formation lap, forcing him to take the spare car and start from the pitlane. Prost duly dominated the race. Senna, after scything through the field up to second, was later shown the black flag for changing cars. Senna’s qualifying advantage was evident again at Imola for round 2 and he duly controlled the race, always staying just out of Prost’s reach. It was just the beginning of their epic rivalry.

Mika Hakkinen David Coulthard McLaren 1998 Australian GP

Hakkinene leads off Coulthard at Melbourne ’98

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Ten years later McLaren had again delivered the fastest car, the MP4-13. Driving it would be Mika Hakkinen and David Coulthard who had proved reasonably closely-matched in their previous two years together when McLaren had been less than fully competitive. But it was as if with a fast car, Hakkinen stepped up to an altogether higher plane, looking once more like the driver who had out-paced Michael Schumacher in their rare F3 encounters. Hakkinen required Coulthard’s assistance to win the opening round, in Melbourne, as the Finn had pitted from the lead after mishearing a radio instruction. Coulthard agreed to let him back ahead so as to respect an internal agreement about the positions being decided by who led at the first corner.

In Australia Coulthard had qualified within a few hundredths of Hakkinen’s pole. But in Brazil for round 2, Hakkinen was almost 0.7sec faster. They cruised to a 1-2 finish in that order, but the superiority shown by Hakkinen in qualifying would come to be the norm and Hakkinen’s challenge to the title came not from Coulthard but his old adversary Schumacher. The first race had not been an accurate barometer.

Even before the first race of the new hybrid age in 2014, the huge superiority of the Mercedes was an open secret. Its drivers Lewis Hamilton and Nico Rosberg were going to be the only serious title contenders. This was their second season together, with Hamilton having generally been quicker in the second half of 2013 once he’d adapted to his new team. But the margins were small.

Lewis Hamilton Nico Rosberg Mercedes 2014 Bahrain GP

Rosberg and Hamilton do battle in Bahrain – a portent of what was to come

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Melbourne 2014 suggested another close contest between them, but it was Hamilton who snatched a comfortable pole on a wet track. His race was ruined before it even started though, with a faulty spark plug connection, leaving the way clear for an easy Rosberg victory. Race three in Bahrain was going Hamilton’s way until a late safety car put Rosberg, on much newer tyres, right on his tail. It seemed inevitable Rosberg would win from there but some fierce defending from Hamilton kept him ahead to the flag. It would take a few races for Hamilton to overcome the points damage inflicted by that race one retirement, but the pattern of performance was clear.

There were days last season when Piastri had Norris’s number, but the momentum was definitely with the latter towards the end of the year and Melbourne last weekend continued that pattern. It’s one which Piastri desperately needs to break. History tells us that’s perfectly feasible. But this is a crucial moment in his career.