Ferrari pins hopes on all-new F1 car — but does it know what it's got wrong?

F1

Ferrari's F1 challenge has crumbled since winning at the start of last year. An all-new car is in the pipeline, but Carlos Sainz suggests that the team still doesn't understand the problems it needs to avoid

Ferrari of Charles Leclerc in the gravel during 2023 Dutch GP qualifying

Leclerc bounces over the gravel during a trying Dutch GP weekend

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Eighteen months ago, as F1’s new ground effect regulations came in, Ferrari and Charles Leclerc were duking it out with Red Bull and Max Verstappen at the front of grands prix.

Today, Verstappen and Red Bull are enjoying an RB19 that is setting new records as one of the most dominant cars in the sport’s history. It works everywhere: high downforce, low downforce, low degradation, high degradation, whatever speed range you care to choose. Unsurprisingly, Milton Keynes is hard at work on a 2024 car that is an evolution. Why would it be anything else?

Ferrari, by contrast, is all over the place. And nowhere demonstrated that better than Zandvoort. The men in red aren’t even on the same page.

Both Ferrari F1 cars on Zandvoort banking in 2023 Dutch Grand Prix

Ferrari was off the pace again in Zandvoort

Ferrari

“It’s very difficult to predict which circuits we’re going to be quick at and which ones we’re not going to be quick,” Carlos Sainz said. “The best example was the difference between Hungary and Spa. We expected Hungary to be a good weekend and we expected Spa to be weaker. And it was actually the opposite, which just shows that there’s maybe something intrinsic that we don’t fully understand and so cannot predict very well.”

Ferrari’s head of chassis, Enrico Cardile, said he didn’t agree with Carlos.

“It’s crystal clear what we did wrong with the car,” Cardile said in Holland. “The weaknesses are clear. It’s not a matter of understanding what we should do. We are not in nowhere land. We know what we have to do. It’s a matter of doing it.

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“The other point is that the car is consistent during the race weekend in terms of behaviour, but sometimes this behaviour changes from track to track. In Hungary, we had a difficult time, in Belgium the performance was back. Sometimes this happens. But during a weekend, if the car is consistent we can work on it.”

At the moment, that seems to be a pretty big ‘if.’ At Zandvoort Ferrari sacrificed much of Friday to medium compound runs aimed at ’24 developments, Leclerc finishing up P16. Reserve driver Robert Shwartzman had a run in Sainz’s car in FP1 and reported that the rear end was “super unstable.”

Leclerc had picked up an ear infection and drove the 900-odd miles from home in Monaco to Zandvoort rather than fly, so maybe some remnants of an inner ear / balance issue remained, but the SF23’s foibles were a much likelier explanation for Leclerc stacking the car in Q3 when he had a snap in Turn 9. Post-session, he said he had “zero idea” how the car would behave in the corners.

“Since FP1, we’ve been struggling in Turns 1, 9 and 10,” he elaborated. “We’ve changed the car completely, and honestly there’s not much that helps us in these three corners. “Turns 9 and 10 you go in, you are releasing the brakes, there’s absolutely no grip for whatever reason and then you’re just trusting the car gripping again on the exit. Which it didn’t on that lap, and I ended up in the wall.”

It wasn’t the first time this season. The Ferrari is sensitive to wind and, in Miami, Leclerc crashed at T6/7 in practice and did it again in qualifying, although he accepted full responsibility for pushing too hard in a tricky car.

Storm clouds over Ferrari of Carlos Sainz in 2023 Dutch Grand Prix

Storm clouds over Sainz, who says this year’s car is unpredictable

Ferrari

All a bit of a puzzle considering that early season last year Leclerc spoke of a very driveable, predictable car, the Achilles heel being lack of straightline speed relative to Red Bull. He only missed Verstappen’s Zandvoort pole by a couple of hundredths last year and the Ferraris started the race second and third.

So, what’s changed? That was all before the introduction of the FIA’s Technical Directive 39, designed to control the porpoising / bouncing affecting the new ground effect cars. Ferrari was never as competitive afterwards.

Then, an increase in floor / diffuser height in ’23 made it more difficult to generate underbody downforce and, if anything, seems to have affected Red Bull less and given Ferrari even more headaches. While Red Bull is going down the enviable path of polishing a gem for ’24, Ferraris is going back to the drawing board.

Storm clouds over Ferrari of Carlos Sainz in 2023 Dutch Grand Prix

Enrico Cardile, Ferrari’s head of chassis, insists the team knows where it went wrong this year

Ferrari

Speaking last weekend, Cardile admitted, “Developing this year’s car we realised that some architectural choices we made were not right. It was constraining the development too much. From there, next year’s car will not be an evolution of this year’s like this year’s car has been compared to last year. It will be a brand-new car – a different chassis with a different design, a different rear end.”

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“What’s his background?” someone in the press room asked.

“According to the Ferrari website, got an Aero Engineering degree from Pisa University and did his thesis on the Ferrari wind tunnel. Joined the Ferrari race team in 2016 as head of aero.”

“Pisa? Really? Was he up the tower when he did the SF23 because that seems to be all on the piss as well…” A cheap shot, I know, but mildly amusing!

For ’24, Ferrari fans have to hope that Cardile and not Carlos is closer to the mark. Because, in cost-cap F1, you can no longer spend your way out of trouble.