Verstappen had been very conservative through the final two turns in qualifying, having fallen foul of a penalty in Q2 and this played its part in Leclerc just failing to snatch pole by 0.04sec. The reality was that, improved though the Ferrari is, it race pace was around 0.35sec shy of Verstappen’s.
A VSC for a Yuki Tsunoda incident on the 14th lap tempted many – including the Ferraris, Hamilton, Norris and Alonso – into pitting. But Red Bull reckoned it too early and was proved right. The better stint-spacing its nine-lap later first stop gave Verstappen allowed him to use the tyres harder and allowed Perez to make up a chunk of places as lower midfield cars pitted, giving him clear air to use his performance.
Being stacked behind Leclerc brought Sainz out behind Hamilton and Norris. He was able to catch and pass them in impressive style and it would have been interesting to see how he might have done had he got ahead of Leclerc at the start as he did seem to have slightly better pace. The post-Spanish GP test at Barcelona proved particularly useful for him as the team experimented with a set up suggested by him. It’s put him in a much happier place with the feel of the car.
The Mercs were blighted by understeer and poor traction and Norris in the heavily updated McLaren was able to pass Hamilton on track and pull away. Hamilton lost another place – to Alonso – at the second stops through having to take a 5sec track limits penalty then. His mood would not have been improved when the various post-race penalties dropped him behind team mate Russell, who he’d out-performed all weekend.
The patterns behind Verstappen are jumbled up in interesting ways with each different track layout. But the identity of the first past the chequer seems pre-ordained now.