Why MotoGP’s Japanese brands are so far behind and what Honda needs to do to catch up

MotoGP

It’s a decade since Ducati transformed MotoGP by unleashing its first multi-wing Desmosedici in February 2016, so why are the Japanese manufacturers still behind and how can straggler Honda catch up?

Andrea Dovizioso on Ducati Desmosedici in 2016

The day MotoGP changed and the Japanese brands were left behind – Andrea Dovizioso debuts the first fully winged Ducati Desmosedici at Sepang, 1st February 2016

Ducati

Mat Oxley

It’s the biggest mystery of modern MotoGP: why can’t the championship’s Japanese manufacturers catch up Ducati and the other European brands?

The answer is surprisingly simple, but that doesn’t mean it will be simple for Honda and Yamaha to get back to the front of the pack.

First, some background… This time a decade ago (February 1, 2016, to be exact) Ducati’s factory MotoGP team opened its garage door at the start of the 2016 Sepang pre-season tests and stunned the world of motorcycle racing: its Desmosedici GP16s bristled with multiple downforce winglets.

Whoever starts climbing the learning curve first has a huge advantage over those that follow

The winglets had been created by Gigi Dall’Igna and his engineers to compensate for MotoGP’s first spec electronics system, which had a weak anti-wheelie programme.

“If you look at the data you can easily understand that wheelies are one of the main problems in MotoGP,” Dall’Igna told me in 2022. “So if you want to improve your lap times you have to do something in order to reduce wheelies.”

Dall’Igna knew he must find a physical way to fix a problem that had previously been handled by electronics, so he became the first MotoGP engineer to fully interrogate the science of downforce aerodynamics. In so doing he created an entirely new area of development, and MotoGP’s biggest, because it affects all aspects of performance: braking, acceleration, cornering and so on.

Emerging technologies are very different to established technologies – like engine design, chassis design and so on – because the learning curve of a young technology is very steep, so whoever starts climbing that curve first has a huge advantage over those that follow.

The followers find themselves way down the curve, working on what the leader was working on last year and without the same amount of knowhow, so it’s very difficult to catch up. Whenever they do manage to take a step forward, they find that the leader has taken another two steps forward, thanks to its deeper knowledge of the technology.

Johann Zarco on LCR Honda

Zarco is currently Honda’s fastest rider, because he can use more corner speed than other RC213V riders

LCR Honda

Only once the learning curve starts to level out does it become easier to catch up – and MotoGP aero development isn’t even close to levelling out.

The Japanese manufacturers made life even harder for themselves because they were reluctant to start climbing that curve. While Ducati’s European rivals quickly realised they had to follow Ducati, Honda, Suzuki and Yamaha didn’t want to, because they believed downforce aerodynamics aren’t right for MotoGP.

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“Our opinion is that we want to develop technology that can be transferred to streetbikes, because this is one of the main reasons we go racing,” HRC technical manager Takeo Yokoyama told me back in 2019. “And in the case of aerodynamics we don’t think we can convert so much technology to streetbikes. We need to stay connected to the street market, which is why extreme aerodynamics is not the right way to go.”

Yokoyama also prophesied MotoGP’s 2027 rule changes, written to curtail the increase in MotoGP performance, largely attributed to downforce aero.

“Increasing front-tyre contact with aerodynamics is good for safety, but you don’t have to do this with downforce – you can change machine weight distribution, pitching behaviour and so on,” he added. “In fact the safety discussion can go the other way: if you use downforce to increase front contact, you can use more torque, so the bike accelerates even faster. So maybe the acceleration will go from 1.2g to 1.5g, so the motorcycle will be even faster…”

The unwillingness of the Japanese brands to travel down the road towards two-wheeled Formula 1 was obvious to anyone watching MotoGP. While Ducati equipped its Desmosedici with ground-effect aero for the 2021 season, Honda took another 20 months to follow suit and Yamaha even longer.

2022 Ducati Desmosedici and Honda RC213V MotoGP bikes

Ducati’s Desmosedici GP22 and Honda’s 2022 RC213V – worlds apart in terms of downforce aerodynamics accoutrements

Ducati/Honda

And that’s why Honda’s aero is still so far behind Ducati’s. How to fix the problem? This is a new science, so the only sure way to rapidly increase your knowhow is to hire engineers who already have that knowledge, which means people from Ducati, Aprilia and KTM.

Honda hasn’t done this so far; instead relying on its own experiments, which is most likely a very slow way to gain knowledge.

“Aero is a new dawn,” says Joan Mir’s factory Honda crew chief Santi Hernandez. “Of course the manufacturers that are in front have a better understanding of what they can do with the aero. Working on [downforce] aero can give you many possibilities but you need to understand aero well, because maybe you design some aerodynamics to help in fast corners, but it’s worse for wheelies and stopping. For this reason it’s very complicated, so it’s very difficult to achieve what you need. For this reason Honda is trying many aero things with different riders to understand the effect, how to improve and how to upgrade. Aero is amazing!”

Meanwhile Yamaha has stolen Ducati’s chief aerodynamicist Marco Nicotra, who previously worked on Formula 1 aerodynamics, and technical director Max Bartolini, whose arrival has transformed the factory’s engineering line-up. At last November’s post-season Barcelona tests the Yamaha garages were populated by as many European engineers as Japanese.

Honda has taken a first step in that direction, signing Aprilia chief engineer Romano Albesiano, who will be the first European to run Honda’s MotoGP programme, something that would’ve been unthinkable just a few years ago. Albesiano has already been testing with Honda’s new chief MotoGP tester, Aleix Espargaró. Together they bring a lot of Aprilia knowhow with them.

The big question is this: is one new boss enough to change Honda’s approach? Or will the company need to hire more Europeans in the future? My feeling is that Albesiano will try to do just this, just like Bartolini.

Marc Marquez with Takeo Yokoyama

Marquez and Yokoyama in 2022

Honda

Meanwhile, what do Honda’s longer-serving technicians think?

“We still struggle in two main areas,” adds Hernandez, who started at Honda with Marc Márquez in 2013. “We miss traction in the acceleration area, so we are losing acceleration, because we don’t have enough grip. And our bike isn’t fast enough on the straights, so we aren’t able to slipstream other bikes or pass them. I cannot say if this is aerodynamics or the whole bike.”

Johann Zarco, Honda’s fastest rider last season (because he can use more corner speed than the other RC213V riders) agrees that the bike needs better downforce aero, because last season he struggled with too much wheelie.

“The Ducati stops better, the bike is stable and the rear end stays down. It’s like a rally car!”

“The engine has good power, but we have too much wheelie,” says the LCR Honda rider. “So I’m losing in acceleration and also in preparing for the next corner, because I’m fighting wheelies. And if we set up the bike to have less wheelie we lose grip.”

This poor acceleration is a major part of Honda’s inability to cut the same lap times as the fastest bikes.

In Buriram [Thailand] we were losing two tenths in acceleration from Turn 1 to Turn 2 and another two tenths from Turn 3 to Turn 4, so almost half a second, which makes things quite difficult,” explains Hernandez.

Some of the RC213V’s exit problems come from entry problems.

Joan Mir with Santi Hernandez

Mir and Hernandez trying to make sense of it all at last year’s British GP

Honda

“Rear grip also helps you stop the bike and if you can stop better then your corner speed, your cornering lines and your exit line are different,” continues Hernandez. “If you’re not able to stop the bike then the rest of the corner is missing – you destroy it all on the brakes. We can see that the Ducati stops a lot better, the bike is quite stable and the rear end stays down. It’s like a rally car! We need to understand this.”

And this is how it feels from the rider’s point of view…

“It’s very difficult to stop the bike,” says Mir’s team-mate Luca Marini. “Even if the rear tyre is touching the ground it’s skating [not gripping]. Everything starts from corner entry. We have to use the front brake more than the others, so we’re struggling with the front tyre – close to crashing at every corner – so we have slower corner speed and then more wheelspin on the exit.”

Much of this entry/exit problem come from the same problem – not loading the rear tyre correctly. This is most likely a combination of not loading the tyre mechanically – via chassis balance and geometry – and not loading it aerodynamically – via downforce.

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Last season Honda’s problems were exacerbated by Michelin’s super-grippy, new-for-2024 rear slick, which also troubled Aprilia, KTM and Yamaha.

“We have unbelievable chatter – the bike is jumping! – this is my principle problem,” says Mir. The vibration suffered by the former champion has his rear tyre bouncing several millimetres off the road, probably the cause of some of his frequent crashes.

This problem has pushed Honda engineers into a corner, because when you’ve got a tyre that causes chatter, the chatter usually gets worse when you increase grip.

“As soon as we have some grip, we also get some vibration,” affirms Hernandez, who hopes that Albesiano’s arrival signals a change within Honda and HRC. “I think the Japanese staff understand they need someone from outside. When you are focused on your problems, maybe someone from outside will have a different view and see things that you didn’t see because you’re so focused on one area.”

Despite everything, there has been progress.

“We had a much better base at the end of the last season than we had at the beginning of the year,” says Zarco.

“The way you ride the bike now is better because it’s in balance and under control,” adds Marini.

But of course, Honda’s rivals also made steps forward during 2024, so the gap didn’t shrink much. At the start of the season, Honda’s race-pace was around 1.1 seconds per lap slower than Ducati’s. By season’s end it was eight-tenths of a second slower. Not a big difference.

Next week’s opening pre-season tests at Sepang, Malaysia, may give a hint of how much progress Honda has made during the off-season.

Marini believes the gap will close during the second half of 2025 as Albesiano and Honda engineers get to grips with the bike’s problems – especially rear traction – but don’t be surprised if it takes longer than that.

Remember that Ducati went almost six years – between 2010 and 2016 – without a MotoGP victory. If Honda takes that long it will be spring 2029 before it wins again.