Márquez is doing the exact opposite of what Rossi did 13 years ago

MotoGP

The long-awaited Marc Márquez bombshell has dropped, so what does this mean for his future and what does it mean for MotoGP 2024?

Marc Marquez ahea dof Valentino Rossi in MotoGP race

Márquez and Rossi in 2014, before they fell out

Honda

Mat Oxley

Marc Márquez’s move from a struggling Japanese manufacturer to a dominant Ducati is the exact opposite of what Valentino Rossi did in 2011, when the Italian moved from a dominant Japanese manufacturer to a struggling Ducati.

You couldn’t make it up, could you? It’s way too neat a storyline for any Hollywood screenwriter.

More than anything, this latest defection highlights how MotoGP’s balance of power has turned 180 degrees since Ducati transformed the championship with new technologies, dragging its European rivals into its slipstream and leaving the Japanese behind.

When Rossi made his move — because the factory Yamaha team wasn’t big enough to handle the egos of the seven-time MotoGP king and a hungry-as-hell Jorge Lorenzohe went from winning races to crashing his brains out. From 2010 to 2011 Rossi’s accident rate tripled as the Ducati’s tricky front end fooled him into hurling the bike into corners, the front tyre letting go at the last moment.

“We call it the f**king black hole,” he said at the time.

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Now Márquez hopes to travel in the opposite direction, from wrecking himself and so many Honda RC213Vs to winning again, with a second-hand Desmosedici.

The obvious question is whether the six-time MotoGP champion — who will be 31 years-old when he first races a Ducati, will be able to transfer his skills from the Honda to the Ducati? Personally, I have little doubt he will be in the 2024 title fight.

What we do know is that Márquez doesn’t really like racing with lots of downforce aerodynamics. He prefers riding a motorcycle more freely, teetering on the brink of disaster all the way to the chequered flag, rather than guiding a two-wheeled Formula 1 car around a racetrack as directed by your engineers.

But this is the way now and you must adapt or die.

Marc Marquez at full lean on Honda MotoGP bike

Márquez will need to learn to ride a little less like this on the Ducati

Honda

The Ducati’s greatest advantages are how it stops and how it goes, because the Desmosedici can transfer more torque to the asphalt than any of the other bikes.

When Márquez was in his pomp his killer skill was corner entry: braking hard into the apex, tucking the front tyre and even using that tuck to help turn the bike. Those days seem to be over, because the aero puts so much downforce on the front tyre that once it lets go it’s usually gone.

Márquez won’t only need to get used to a new bike and a new way of riding next year

Therefore you have to make the difference another way. Now it’s all about smashing both brakes, using the rear tyre as much as the front. The Ducati is better than any of the other bikes at allowing its riders to do this, because somehow it doesn’t pitch as much.

Using the rear tyre to stop the bike also means kicking the bike sideways on the brakes, skidding the rear tyre into the corner to take load off the over-stressed front tyre and using its grip to reduce speed until you approach the apex, then gently bringing the bike back into line, but still using the rear to slow and turn the bike as you reach the apex.

Currently Pecco Bagnaia and KTM’s Brad Binder are the kings of this technique, but Márquez is no stranger to sideway corner entries, so it surely won’t take him long to work it out on the Ducati.

Learning the bike’s corner-exit technique shouldn’t be such a big deal, because playing with the rear tyre is always easier than playing with the front.

Marc Marquez in Honda MotoGP pit with Santi Hernandez

Márquez and crew chief Hernandez will split after 14 years together

Honda

And as Martin says: “The good thing is that you can ride the Ducati in different ways”.

When Márquez rides the Ducati for the first time at Valencia on November 28, he will have access to the data of the company’s other seven riders, including the first three men in the 2023 championship: Bagnaia, Jorge Martin and Marco Bezzecchi. Not just for Valencia, but for every track on this year’s calendar. That will be his winter reading. He will be able to see which lines they take, where they brake, how they brake, where they open the throttle and how they open the throttle.

There’s no doubt that Márquez the elder is more talented than brother Alex, but perhaps we can get a glimpse of how his performance will change from 2023 to 2024 from his younger sibling, who switched from Honda to Ducati this year.

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Last year Alex’s best qualifying performances were two third-row starts and he only finished inside the top ten on four occasions in twenty races. So far this season the two-time world champion has scored three front rows, including his first pole position, one sprint victory, one grand prix podium and every other time he’s finished a sprint or GP, apart from twice, he’s been inside the top ten, usually comfortably. That’s quite a turnaround.

Of course, Márquez won’t only need to get used to a new bike and a new way of riding next year. He will also need to get used to a new team and a new crew chief.

In recent years Ducati has lost a bunch of very significant staff to KTM, who have played a huge role in transforming the brand into the Italian manufacturer’s biggest rival.

Jack Miller and Marc Marquez with right legs raised on track

Márquez and Jack Miller in 2022 – note how the Ducati pitches less, allowing the rider to use the rear tyre as well as the front to stop

Honda

Ducati knows it can’t let this brain drain continue, so it’s signing its engineers to stronger contracts with limiting exit clauses. It therefore wants Márquez to work with current Ducati staff, which means he will have to say goodbye to Santi Hernandez, who’s been his crew chief since he graduated to Moto2 in 2010.

Who will be Márquez’s crew chief at Gresini? The obvious choice is Frankie Carchedi, who guided Joan Mir to the 2020 title at Suzuki, then joined Gresini at the end of last year, following Suzuki’s withdrawal from MotoGP.

Ironically it was Carchedie who told me during 2023 pre-season testing that if Márquez ever got on a Ducati the rest of the grid wouldn’t see which way he went.

And how will the independent Gresini team cope with the arrival of arguably the greatest motorcycle racer of all time? Gresini is a good team, but it will need to be better to operate at Márquez’s level. Obviously he will bring substantial sponsorship with him, much of which will need to be invested in Gresini.

This move will cost Márquez many, many millions. Twenty million Euros in lost Honda salary, (no one knows what he earns, but that’s the rumour, so I’m going with that), plus a chunk of his personal sponsorship, which Gresini will need to upgrade its operations.

Márquez surely has enough in the bank not to worry about money — all he wants is to get back to tasting the sweet taste of victory.

Thanks to this, MotoGP will be a better place next year, with Márquez dancing around at the front, taking no prisoners and expecting no quarter. Bizarrely, Dorna didn’t want this to happen: it wanted Márquez to stay at Honda, to keep Honda in the championship, but hopefully his move will return MotoGP to being edge-of-the-seat entertainment.

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