How Ferrari outfoxed McLaren in Monza to take ecstatic home win

Mark Hughes

Ferrari had nothing to lose at the 2024 Italian GP – and came away as winners. Mark Hughes analyses how the Scuderia emerged victorious

4 Charles Leclerc Ferrari 2024 Italian GP Monza

Leclerc and Ferrari rolled the dice on the one-stop strategy – and it paid off

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Mark Hughes

Amid the clamour of a championship coming to life as McLaren continues to field a super-fast car and Red Bull struggles, Charles Leclerc delivered a fairytale Ferrari-at-Monza victory. For the second time in five years.

This time he did it by splitting Oscar Piastri and Lando Norris on the first lap – preventing the front row-starting McLarens from controlling him – then making only one pit stop. As Piastri came out from his second stop going way faster but with only 14 laps left to close down 9sec, the tifosi understood what the game was and each time the Ferrari completed another lap still leading the place erupted. Even Piastri’s new tyres weren’t enough to close such a gap down and Leclerc took the flag by the margin of 2.6sec.

It might be argued that McLaren lost this race, and it’s a view that Piastri wouldn’t argue with. Should he and Norris have stayed out when running 1-2 in the second stint, ignoring the deterioration in grip of their left-front tyres as Leclerc hovered 6sec behind the leader? “In hindsight, probably,” said Piastri who made himself the lead McLaren driver three corners into the race by making an audacious pass on Norris at the Roggia chicane, Norris rescuing a wild moment but in so doing allowing Leclerc past.

Oscar Piastri McLaren Charles Leclerc Ferrari 2024 Italian GP Monza

Leclerc inserts himself between the two McLarens

McLaren

Just before his second stop Piastri was asked quite plainly if he thought there was any way he could make a one-stop work. “I don’t think so,” he replied. “The front-left is pretty dead.” Norris’ tyres had been even worse, as he’d not had the benefit of clear air. He’d been brought in five laps earlier after locking up at Turn 4.

By contrast, Leclerc and Ferrari had decided quite early into the first stint they were one-stopping. It had been Carlos Sainz’s plan all along in the other Ferrari and he’d managed his pace more conservatively, running in fourth and doing just enough to stay out of reach of Lewis Hamilton’s Mercedes. So he ran long, five laps longer than Leclerc. But for Leclerc, the further the race went on, with the McLarens not getting away from him despite Norris having undercut ahead at the first stops, the more convinced he became that he too could stay out. He became even more convinced as the McLarens pitted and he was in clean air.

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“When we got undercut, I was thinking we’d lost the win,” he recounted. “But then once both pitted, I actually picked up quite a lot of front grip and, being the last car, I didn’t have much to lose by trying the one-stop. But we did a really, really good job with that front left, which has been very, very tricky for everybody. We had a lot of front graining, but managed to take that front grip again.”

Later Piastri came to realise that his graining tyre had not been dead. As the tyre wore, so the graining would clean up, as Leclerc and Sainz had demonstrated. He felt sure he could’ve held on, regardless of the Ferrari being easier on the fronts.

“There are things we could have done a bit differently from a strategy point of view and also a driving point of view to keep the options open a little bit more,” rued Piastri. “It [should have been] a matter of just kind of sticking with the graining and getting through it. But given in practice when that happened you basically couldn’t hit the brake pedal because you turned your front left into a 50 cent coin, it seemed like a very risky thing to do so.”

The other risky thing to do was that first lap pass on Norris. There were still no team orders in play at McLaren despite the pole-setting Norris’ closer gap to Verstappen’s points lead. So Norris was kicking himself afterwards for being too conservative into the braking zone for Roggia on the first lap. “I should have just braked a bit later,” he said. “Simple as that. But sometimes it’s easier said than done. Oscar obviously braked on the limit and gave me space; it was just about enough. But if I’d braked two metres later, you don’t know and you can’t predict. Two metres later and it could easily have been a crash. The easiest thing is just to brake way later and force him off and kind of treat it like it was anyone else. I obviously took it easy. I saw we had a massive gap behind, so maybe I was just a bit too much on the cautious side and paid the price.”

Carlos Sainz Ferrari 2024 Italian GP Monza

Sainz was always on for a one-stopper, before Ferrari decided to go all in with both drivers

Ferrari

Afterwards McLaren team boss Andrea Stella conceded that from now, especially with Verstappen’s struggles, they will look at prioritising Norris for the sake of his title chances.

Hamilton’s efforts at pressuring Sainz’s fourth just ate up the Merc’s tyres, and he finished a two-stopping fifth, a long way clear of Verstappen in a Red Bull that just did not want to change direction and which ate even its hard tyres excessively. His sixth place was being closed down fast by the Merc of the recovering George Russell whose race got off to a disastrous start as he contested the first corner with the McLarens but got bundled down the escape road with a damaged front wing. In the closing stages he passed Perez who said his Red Bull changed direction like a boat, very much in contrast to Leclerc’s well-balanced Ferrari. And that’s not a sentence anyone would have expected to hear just a few races ago.